INCIDENCE DES DEPENSES PUBLIQUES SUR LA CONSOMMATION PRIVEE AU CONGO

J. HAKIZIMANA, P. G. BATILA NGOULA KOMBO, G. S. MBOU LIKIBI

Résumé


En République du Congo, depuis plus d’une décennie les dépenses publiques augmentent à un rythme croissant. La présente étude a pour objectif de déterminer l’incidence de cette augmentation sur la consommation privée. Les résultats obtenus à partir du modèle vectoriel à correction d’erreur permettent de conclure à l’existence d’un phénomène d’effet d’éviction limité à court terme et d’un effet d’entrainement total à long terme


Texte intégral :

PDF

Références


Ahmed, S., (1986), « Temporary and permanent government spending in an open economy: some evidence for the United Kingdom», Journal of Monetary Economics.17: 197-224.

Amano, R., Wirjanto, T., (1997), «Intratemporel substitution and government spending», Reviews of Economics and statistics, LXXIX, 605-609.

Aschauer, D., (1985), «Fiscal Policy and Aggregate Demand », American Economic Review. 75(1): 117-127.

Aschauer,R., (1989),«does public capital crowd out private capital?, Journal of Monetary Economic, 24(7), 171-188.gyt

Auerbach, A. et Y. Gorodnichenko., (2012), «Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy», NBER Working Paper 19311.

Barro, M., (1981), «Output of government purchases ». Journal of Political Economy, 84, 315-350.

Barro, R., (197?, «Are government net Wealt», Journal of Political Economy

Baxter, M., and King, R., (1993), « Fiscal policy in general equilibrium », American Economic Review. 83(3): 315-334.

Blanchard , O., and Perotti, R., (2002), « An empirical characterization of the dynamique effects of changes of government spending and taxes on output» , Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol 117, 1329-1368.

Dickey, D. A., and Fuller, W. A., (1981), « Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica. 49: 1057-1072.

Eisner, R., (1989), «Budget Deficit: Rhetoric and Eeality», Journal of Economic Perspective, Vol .3

Fatos, A., and Mihov (2001), «The Effects of Fiscal Policy on consummtion and Employment: Theory and Evidence». INSEAD, mimeo.

Gupta, L., (1992), «Ricardian equivalence and crowding out in Asia», Applied Economics. 24: 19-25.

Hall, E., (1978), « Stochastic implications of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis: theory and evidence », Journal of Political Economy. 86(6): 971-987.

Hamori, S., and Asako, K., (1999), «Government consumption and fiscal policy: some evidence from Japan Applied Economics ». Letters, 6: 551-555.

Hirschman A., (1958), «The strategy of economic development», New- Haven, Yale University Press

Ho, T., (2001(a)), « Consumption and government spending substitutability revisited:evidence from Taiwan », Scottish Journal of Political Economy. 48(5): 589-604.

Ho, T., (2001(b)), « Government spending and private consumption: a panel cointegration Analysis », International Review of Economics and Finance. 10: 95-108.

Kanwar, S., (2000), « Does the dog the tail or the tail dog? Cointegration of Indian agriculture with nonagriculture», Journal of policy Modeling, 22 (5), 533-556p

Karras, G., (1994), « Government spending and private consumption, some international evidence », Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 26: 9-22.

Khalid, M., (1996), « Ricardian equivalence: empirical evidence from developing economies », Journal of Development Economics. 51: 413-432.

Kormendi, R., (1983), « Government debt, government spending, and private sector behavior », The American Economic Review. 73(5): 994-1010.

Mackinnon, J., (1991), « Critical values for cointegration test. In R.F, Engel, C.W.J. Granger (Eds), long-run economic relationships: Reading in cointegretion 267-276,. Oxford Universty press.

Mankiw, G., (2003), «Macroeconomie», 3ème édition, Bruxelles.

Mankiw, N.,( 2000),«The Svers-Spenders Theory of Fiscal Pilicy». Amercan Economics Reviews, 90(2), 120-125.

Maslow, A., (1954), «A theory of human motivation», Psychological review.

Monacelli, T., and Perotti, R., (2008), «Fiscal Policy Wealth Effect, and Markups» , NEBR Working papers 14584, National Bureau of Economic Recherch.

Peersman, G., and Straub, R., (2006), «Putting the new Keynesian model to a test». Working peper of Faculty of Economics and Business Admistration, Ghent University, 375.

Perotti, R., (1999), «Fiscal Policy in good times and bad». Quarterly Journal of Economics,144(4),1399-1436.

Phillips,P., and Perron, P., (1988),«Testing for unit root in time series regression». Biometrica vol 75.

Ravin et al. , (2012), «Consumption, Government Spending, and the real exchange rate», Journal of Monatary Economics , 59(3), 215-234.

Rwigamba, B., (2005), « Initiation à la recherche scientifique», www. Google.cg

Schclarek, A., (2007), «Fiscal policy and private consumption in industrial and developing Countries», Journal of Macroeconomics.

Sims , R., (1980), «Macroeconomics and Reality» , Econometrica , 48(1) 1-48

Woodford, M., (1990), «Public debt as Private Liquidity». American Economic Reviews, 80 (2), 382-388.

Yao, S., (2000), «How important is agriculture is China’s economic growth? », Oxyford development studies 28(1), 33-49.


Renvois

  • Il n'y a présentement aucun renvoi.